NFL Picks Week 3

NFL Picks Week 3

Dallas Cowboys 20 (46.5)
Houston Texans 30 (-3)

Dallas comes stumbling into week 3 0-2 and seemingly in search of an offensive identity. This is the week you either need a cupcake or division foe you know inside and out at home for a win. Instead they get to travel to Houston, to a dome, & to an emerging team which they rarely play. Phillips & Garrett seem clueless in deciphering what is wrong with the offensive (see offensive line). The defense looks pretty solid but you can't score many points on defense.

Houston, meanwhile, has looked impressive in week 1, and then showed real fortitude in week 2 coming back from 17 down on the road to break the Redskins' hearts. The Texans' offense looks potent, and while the defense seems average at best, they are facing an offense that is struggling to find itself. The Texans will give up some points to the Cowboys, but will score enough to win.

Philadelphia Eagles 27 (-3)
San Francisco 21 (44)

Rather than babble on about the key factors in the game, I am going to summarize this game in 2 words:

Michael Vick

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2010 Public Picks Record ATS: 1-2-1 O/U: 1-3 S/U: 3-1

2010 NFL Week 1 Picks

2010 NFL Week 2 Picks

NFL Picks Archive

Every NFL Season starting in week 4, NFL Lines offers free statitically generated NFL Picks. Experience has shown it takes at least 3 weeks of stats to generate legitimate NFL lines.

Each Matchup has a statistically driven line, the real nfl line, and the line differential. All statistically driven lines are based on the HOME team giving or getting points. A negative line differential listed for a home team simply means the statistics favor the visiting team and the visiting team should be favored.

Home teams are given 3 points in the statistically generated lines.

***NOTE***STATISTICALLY DRIVEN LINES DO NOT CONSIDER INJURIES OR BENCHINGS***

Factor in injuries and benchings to adjust the line as you see fit.

Other factors such as: weather, off field issues, "momentum" or "bonce back" all do not factor into the statistically driven line. All statistics and metrics used in the formula are found on or derived from statistics found on NFL.com.



Example: Detroit, after getting 3 points for being the home team,
should give 1.3 points to Washington. The NFL Line is WAS -8.
Thus, DET is getting 9.3 points more then they should in this game.
Hence, Detroit is the pick. Detroit is also the best bet
The Statistical Picks Best Bet is the game with the highest line differential, be it positive or negative

2010 NFL Picks Archive Week 2