Every NFL Season starting in week 4, NFL Lines offers free statitically generated NFL Picks. Experience has shown it takes at least 3 weeks of stats to generate legitimate NFL lines.

Each Matchup has a statistically driven line, the real nfl line, and the line differential. All statistically driven lines are based on the HOME team giving or getting points. A negative line differential listed for a home team simply means the statistics favor the visiting team and the visiting team should be favored.

Home teams are given 3 points in the statistically generated lines.

***NOTE***STATISTICALLY DRIVEN LINES DO NOT CONSIDER INJURIES OR BENCHINGS***

Factor in injuries and benchings to adjust the line as you see fit.

Other factors such as: weather, off field issues, "momentum" or "bonce back" all do not factor into the statistically driven line. All statistics and metrics used in the formula are found on or derived from statistics found on NFL.com.



Example: Detroit, after getting 3 points for being the home team,
should give 1.3 points to Washington. The NFL Line is WAS -8.
Thus, DET is getting 9.3 points more then they should in this game.
Hence, Detroit is the pick. Detroit is also the best bet
The Statistical Picks Best Bet is the game with the highest line differential, be it positive or negative

Example: 2008 NFL Picks Archive Week 4