Algorithm picks and results

Every game the site's own algorithm has an opinion on: its rating for each team, the market number, the side it takes and how that turned out.

Its record

  • 58.6%2023–2026Replayed against each full season467-330-19 against the spread
  • 53.0%2023–2026Picking week to week, knowing only what was known then483-429-24 against the spread
  • 50.4%2026Picking week to week, knowing only what was known then58-57-5 against the spread

The two numbers cover the same games. The higher one replays the algorithm against each season in full; the lower is it picking week to week with only what was known at the time. Break-even against the spread is 52.4% after the standard vig.

The record, drawn

Against the spread, by season

Picking week to week with only what was known at the time — the seasons this algorithm has actually been live for.

Week by week

Each week on its own, as a rate rather than a count of wins — a sixteen-game week and a bye-shortened one are comparable this way.

How much it wins and loses by

Every graded game, by how far it beat or missed the number. A percentage says how often; this says by how much — a record built on half-point escapes and one built on comfortable margins read identically until you draw them.

2026 picks are the algorithm's own, made before each game and graded on the closing spread.

Week 1
NENew England Patriots5-310
SEASeattle Seahawks4-313
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -3Total 44.5
NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-127
LARLos Angeles Rams4-47
FinalSF covered
Vegas LAR -3.5Total 47.5
SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)
CHIChicago Bears5-259
CARCarolina Panthers3-437
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3Total 47.5
CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-527
CINCincinnati Bengals5-233
FinalCIN covered
Vegas CIN -3.5Total 50.5
TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)
NONew Orleans Saints2-530
DETDetroit Lions5-231
FinalNO covered
Vegas DET -7Total 49.5
NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)
BUFBuffalo Bills6-136
HOUHouston Texans2-531
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -1.5Total 44.5
BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-441
INDIndianapolis Colts2-623
FinalBAL covered
Vegas BAL -3Total 48.5
BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)
CLECleveland Browns5-310
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-234
FinalJAX covered
Vegas JAX -8.5Total 40.5
CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-513
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-220
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -6.5Total 40.5
ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)
NYJNew York Jets2-623
TENTennessee Titans1-710
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas TEN -1.5Total 39.5
NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)
ARIArizona Cardinals3-526
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-714
FinalARI covered
Vegas LAC -8.5Total 47.5
ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)
MIAMiami Dolphins1-613
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-427
FinalLV covered
Vegas LV -3Total 40.5
MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)
GBGreen Bay Packers5-322
MINMinnesota Vikings6-139
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -1.5Total 46.5
GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)
WASWashington Commanders2-4-122
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-624
FinalWAS covered
Vegas PHI -6Total 43.5
WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)
DALDallas Cowboys3-520
NYGNew York Giants4-2-128
FinalNYG covered
Vegas DAL -3Total 47.5
DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)
DENDenver Broncos6-210
KCKansas City Chiefs5-231
FinalKC covered
Vegas KC -2.5Total 42.5
DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)
Week 2
DETDetroit Lions5-231
BUFBuffalo Bills6-141
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -5.5Total 54.5
DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)
CARCarolina Panthers3-434
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-53
FinalCAR covered
Vegas CAR -2.5Total 43.5
CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)
NONew Orleans Saints2-524
BALBaltimore Ravens4-417
FinalNO covered
Vegas BAL -8.5Total 45.5
NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)
MINMinnesota Vikings6-19
CHIChicago Bears5-23
FinalMIN covered
Vegas CHI -4.5Total 46.5
MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)
CINCincinnati Bengals5-220
HOUHouston Texans2-56
FinalCIN covered
Vegas HOU -3Total 45.5
CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-23
NENew England Patriots5-320
FinalNE covered
Vegas NE -4.5Total 41.5
PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)
GBGreen Bay Packers5-320
NYJNew York Jets2-617
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas GB -3.5Total 44.5
GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)
CLECleveland Browns5-323
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-519
FinalCLE covered
Vegas TB -8.5Total 41.5
CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-624
TENTennessee Titans1-720
FinalTEN covered
Vegas PHI -7Total 39.5
PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-213
DENDenver Broncos6-220
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -2.5Total 45.5
JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-426
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-714
FinalLV covered
Vegas LAC -6.5Total 43.5
LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)
SEASeattle Seahawks4-331
ARIArizona Cardinals3-57
FinalSEA covered
Vegas SEA -3.5Total 40.5
SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)
WASWashington Commanders2-4-120
DALDallas Cowboys3-537
FinalDAL covered
Vegas DAL -3.5Total 51.5
WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)
MIAMiami Dolphins1-613
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-135
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -12.5Total 44.5
MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-630
KCKansas City Chiefs5-233
FinalIND covered
Vegas KC -6Total 46.5
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)
NYGNew York Giants4-2-16
LARLos Angeles Rams4-428
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -6.5Total 47.5
NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)
Week 3
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-535
GBGreen Bay Packers5-314
FinalATL covered
Vegas GB -4.5GB -6 → GB -4.5Total 43.5
Power rating ATL 97.9 (28th) · GB 100.5 (14th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-716
BUFBuffalo Bills6-124
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 50.5
Power rating LAC 100.1 (18th) · BUF 103.8 (2nd)
Algorithm took LAC — wrong
LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)
CARCarolina Panthers3-418
CLECleveland Browns5-321
FinalCLE covered
Vegas CAR -2.5Total 41.5
Power rating CAR 98.9 (21st) · CLE 97.9 (29th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)
NYJNew York Jets2-624
DETDetroit Lions5-231
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas DET -7DET -6.5 → DET -7Total 49.5
Power rating NYJ 95.7 (32nd) · DET 102.2 (5th)
Algorithm took DET — correct
NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)
HOUHouston Texans2-517
INDIndianapolis Colts2-619
FinalIND covered
Vegas HOU -1.5HOU -2.5 → HOU -1.5Total 41.5
Power rating HOU 101.2 (11th) · IND 101.3 (10th)
Algorithm took IND — correct
HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)
NENew England Patriots5-36
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-235
FinalJAX covered
Vegas JAX -3JAX -2.5 → JAX -3Total 44.5
Power rating NE 102.8 (4th) · JAX 102.1 (6th)
Algorithm took NE — wrong
NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)
KCKansas City Chiefs5-224
MIAMiami Dolphins1-610
FinalKC covered
Vegas KC -10KC -11.5 → KC -10Total 45.5
Power rating KC 101.3 (9th) · MIA 98.1 (26th)
Algorithm took MIA — wrong
KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)
TENTennessee Titans1-77
NYGNew York Giants4-2-112
FinalNYG covered
Vegas NYG -2.5NYG -3.5 → NYG -2.5Total 37.5
Power rating TEN 95.8 (31st) · NYG 98.9 (20th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)
CINCincinnati Bengals5-227
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-230
FinalPIT covered
Vegas CIN -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating CIN 98.0 (27th) · PIT 98.5 (23rd)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)
SEASeattle Seahawks4-331
WASWashington Commanders2-4-133
FinalWAS covered
Vegas SEA -8.5SEA -7 → SEA -8.5Total 40.5
Power rating SEA 103.6 (3rd) · WAS 98.2 (24th)
Algorithm took WAS — correct
SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)
ARIArizona Cardinals3-530
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-136
FinalARI covered
Vegas SF -7.5SF -8.5 → SF -7.5Total 48.5
Power rating ARI 98.1 (25th) · SF 101.6 (7th)
Algorithm took ARI — correct
ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)
MINMinnesota Vikings6-123
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-516
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -1.5Total 42.5
Power rating MIN 100.3 (17th) · TB 98.5 (22nd)
Algorithm took TB — wrong
MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-434
DALDallas Cowboys3-531
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas BAL -3Total 53.5
Power rating BAL 101.1 (12th) · DAL 100.3 (16th)
Algorithm took DAL — push
BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-435
NONew Orleans Saints2-527
FinalLV covered
Vegas NO -3.5NO -3 → NO -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating LV 96.9 (30th) · NO 100.0 (19th)
Algorithm took NO — wrong
LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)
LARLos Angeles Rams4-426
DENDenver Broncos6-230
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -1.5LAR -2.5 → DEN -1.5Total 43.5
Power rating LAR 103.8 (1st) · DEN 101.5 (8th)
Algorithm took DEN — correct
LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-67
CHIChicago Bears5-227
FinalCHI covered
Vegas PHI -3.5PHI -3 → PHI -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating PHI 101.0 (13th) · CHI 100.5 (15th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)
Week 4
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-224
CLECleveland Browns5-327
FinalCLE covered
Vegas PIT -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating PIT 97.8 (22nd) · CLE 97.5 (26th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-630
WASWashington Commanders2-4-113
FinalIND covered
Vegas IND -4.5IND -3.5 → IND -4.5Total 46.5
Power rating IND 95.6 (30th) · WAS 96.2 (28th)
Algorithm took WAS — wrong
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)
TENTennessee Titans1-718
BALBaltimore Ravens4-424
FinalTEN covered
Vegas BAL -11.5Total 42.5
Power rating TEN 98.5 (19th) · BAL 103.8 (5th)
Algorithm took TEN — correct
TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)
NENew England Patriots5-329
BUFBuffalo Bills6-126
FinalNE covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 49.5
Power rating NE 98.9 (18th) · BUF 103.6 (6th)
Algorithm took BUF — wrong
NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)
NYJNew York Jets2-612
CHIChicago Bears5-223
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating NYJ 100.4 (13th) · CHI 103.4 (7th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-222
CINCincinnati Bengals5-217
FinalJAX covered
Vegas CIN -2.5Total 51.5
Power rating JAX 104.7 (4th) · CIN 101.9 (10th)
Algorithm took JAX — correct
JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)
DALDallas Cowboys3-534
HOUHouston Texans2-530
FinalDAL covered
Vegas HOU -3HOU -2.5 → HOU -3Total 48.5
Power rating DAL 100.1 (14th) · HOU 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took DAL — correct
DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)
ARIArizona Cardinals3-524
NYGNew York Giants4-2-136
FinalNYG covered
Vegas ARI -2.5ARI -1.5 → ARI -2.5Total 44.5
Power rating ARI 94.8 (31st) · NYG 96.2 (29th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)
LARLos Angeles Rams4-424
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-620
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -3 → LAR -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating LAR 102.8 (8th) · PHI 98.2 (21st)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)
GBGreen Bay Packers5-317
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-514
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas GB -3GB -3.5 → GB -3Total 38.5
Power rating GB 97.0 (27th) · TB 98.3 (20th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)
MIAMiami Dolphins1-610
MINMinnesota Vikings6-115
FinalMIA covered
Vegas MIN -10MIN -11.5 → MIN -10Total 38.5
Power rating MIA 93.4 (32nd) · MIN 101.4 (11th)
Algorithm took MIA — correct
MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)
KCKansas City Chiefs5-230
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-427
FinalLV covered
Vegas KC -4.5Total 47.5
Power rating KC 106.3 (2nd) · LV 102.4 (9th)
Algorithm took LV — correct
KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-723
SEASeattle Seahawks4-330
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -7Total 42.5
Power rating LAC 97.6 (24th) · SEA 105.8 (3rd)
Algorithm took SEA — push
LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)
DENDenver Broncos6-214
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-124
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -3Total 48.5
Power rating DEN 97.6 (25th) · SF 109.1 (1st)
Algorithm took SF — correct
DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)
DETDetroit Lions5-226
CARCarolina Panthers3-432
FinalCAR covered
Vegas DET -4.5DET -3.5 → DET -4.5Total 52.5
Power rating DET 99.3 (16th) · CAR 101.2 (12th)
Algorithm took CAR — correct
DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-545
NONew Orleans Saints2-524
FinalATL covered
Vegas NO -1.5NO -3 → NO -1.5Total 47.5
Power rating ATL 99.4 (15th) · NO 99.3 (17th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)
Week 5
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-524
DALDallas Cowboys3-516
FinalTB covered
Vegas DAL -9.5DAL -10 → DAL -9.5Total 49.5
Power rating TB 98.3 (18th) · DAL 100.0 (14th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-617
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-219
FinalPHI covered
Vegas JAX -7.5JAX -3.5 → JAX -7.5Total 41.5
Power rating PHI 96.5 (29th) · JAX 104.2 (7th)
Algorithm took JAX — wrong
PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)
CHIChicago Bears5-27
GBGreen Bay Packers5-331
FinalGB covered
Vegas CHI -1.5Total 46.5
Power rating CHI 104.3 (5th) · GB 97.4 (25th)
Algorithm took CHI — wrong
CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)
CINCincinnati Bengals5-231
MIAMiami Dolphins1-624
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas CIN -7CIN -7.5 → CIN -7Total 44.5
Power rating CIN 101.8 (10th) · MIA 94.1 (32nd)
Algorithm took MIA — push
CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-417
NENew England Patriots5-345
FinalNE covered
Vegas NE -3.5Total 45.5
Power rating LV 101.5 (11th) · NE 99.0 (15th)
Algorithm took LV — wrong
LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)
MINMinnesota Vikings6-123
NONew Orleans Saints2-513
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -2.5MIN -1.5 → MIN -2.5Total 41.5
Power rating MIN 101.5 (12th) · NO 97.4 (26th)
Algorithm took MIN — correct
MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)
CLECleveland Browns5-312
NYJNew York Jets2-617
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas NYJ -2.5NYJ -1.5 → NYJ -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating CLE 98.1 (20th) · NYJ 98.9 (16th)
Algorithm took NYJ — correct
CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-622
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-234
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -3PIT -2.5 → PIT -3Total 41.5
Power rating IND 96.7 (28th) · PIT 97.8 (22nd)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)
HOUHouston Texans2-526
TENTennessee Titans1-73
FinalHOU covered
Vegas HOU -6.5Total 37.5
Power rating HOU 98.2 (19th) · TEN 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took TEN — wrong
HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)
NYGNew York Giants4-2-127
WASWashington Commanders2-4-127
FinalNYG covered
Vegas WAS -3.5WAS -3 → WAS -3.5Total 41.5
Power rating NYG 97.8 (21st) · WAS 96.3 (30th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)
DENDenver Broncos6-223
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-717
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating DEN 96.8 (27th) · LAC 97.6 (24th)
Algorithm took LAC — wrong
DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)
DETDetroit Lions5-245
ARIArizona Cardinals3-521
FinalDET covered
Vegas DET -5.5Total 55.5
Power rating DET 98.5 (17th) · ARI 94.8 (31st)
Algorithm took ARI — wrong
DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-132
SEASeattle Seahawks4-329
FinalSF covered
Vegas SEA -3Total 46.5
Power rating SF 108.7 (1st) · SEA 105.4 (3rd)
Algorithm took SF — correct
SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-430
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-523
FinalBAL covered
Vegas ATL -3.5BAL -3.5 → ATL -3.5Total 44.5
Power rating BAL 104.3 (4th) · ATL 101.3 (13th)
Algorithm took ATL — wrong
BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)
BUFBuffalo Bills6-137
LARLos Angeles Rams4-434
FinalBUF covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -2.5 → LAR -3.5Total 55.5
Power rating BUF 103.3 (8th) · LAR 104.2 (6th)
Algorithm took LAR — wrong
BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)
Week 6
SEASeattle Seahawks4-314
DENDenver Broncos6-217
FinalDEN covered
Vegas SEA -2.5SEA -1.5 → SEA -2.5Total 40.5
Power rating SEA 104.1 (5th) · DEN 97.7 (22nd)
Algorithm took SEA — wrong
SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)
HOUHouston Texans2-534
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-231
FinalHOU covered
Vegas JAX -2.5JAX -3 → JAX -2.5Total 42.5
Power rating HOU 100.9 (15th) · JAX 104.7 (3rd)
Algorithm took JAX — wrong
HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)
CHIChicago Bears5-231
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-523
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -1.5Total 51.5
Power rating CHI 100.5 (16th) · ATL 101.4 (12th)
Algorithm took ATL — wrong
CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-410
CLECleveland Browns5-313
FinalCLE covered
Vegas BAL -3Total 39.5
Power rating BAL 104.2 (4th) · CLE 97.4 (24th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)
TENTennessee Titans1-726
INDIndianapolis Colts2-620
FinalTEN covered
Vegas IND -6.5Total 43.5
Power rating TEN 95.0 (30th) · IND 95.5 (29th)
Algorithm took TEN — correct
TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)
NYJNew York Jets2-619
NENew England Patriots5-326
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas NE -7.5NE -7 → NE -7.5Total 43.5
Power rating NYJ 99.8 (17th) · NE 102.2 (9th)
Algorithm took NYJ — correct
NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)
NONew Orleans Saints2-534
NYGNew York Giants4-2-127
FinalNO covered
Vegas NO -1.5Total 46.5
Power rating NO 95.9 (27th) · NYG 97.5 (23rd)
Algorithm took NYG — wrong
NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)
CARCarolina Panthers3-425
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-614
FinalCAR covered
Vegas CAR -3PHI -2.5 → CAR -3Total 39.5
Power rating CAR 101.9 (11th) · PHI 95.7 (28th)
Algorithm took CAR — correct
CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-226
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-519
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating PIT 99.7 (19th) · TB 98.8 (20th)
Algorithm took TB — wrong
PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)
ARIArizona Cardinals3-518
LARLos Angeles Rams4-416
FinalARI covered
Vegas LAR -12.5LAR -10.5 → LAR -12.5Total 51.5
Power rating ARI 92.9 (32nd) · LAR 103.4 (6th)
Algorithm took ARI — correct
ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-76
KCKansas City Chiefs5-222
FinalKC covered
Vegas KC -7.5Total 41.5
Power rating LAC 97.2 (25th) · KC 106.3 (2nd)
Algorithm took KC — correct
LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)
BUFBuffalo Bills6-133
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-430
FinalLV covered
Vegas BUF -5.5BUF -4.5 → BUF -5.5Total 53.5
Power rating BUF 103.4 (7th) · LV 98.4 (21st)
Algorithm took LV — correct
BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)
DALDallas Cowboys3-513
GBGreen Bay Packers5-323
FinalGB covered
Vegas DAL -1.5Total 53.5
Power rating DAL 99.7 (18th) · GB 100.9 (14th)
Algorithm took GB — correct
DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)
WASWashington Commanders2-4-117
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-123
FinalWAS covered
Vegas SF -7.5Total 51.5
Power rating WAS 97.0 (26th) · SF 108.3 (1st)
Algorithm took SF — wrong
WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)
Week 7
NENew England Patriots5-324
CHIChicago Bears5-230
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3CHI -1.5 → CHI -3Total 50.5
Power rating NE 102.6 (10th) · CHI 100.9 (15th)
Algorithm took NE — wrong
NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)CHI 25.7 scored (8th) · 20.4 allowed (9th)
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-216
NONew Orleans Saints2-510
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -3PIT -2.5 → PIT -3Total 43.5
Power rating PIT 100.5 (17th) · NO 96.3 (26th)
Algorithm took NO — wrong
PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)NO 23.1 scored (15th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-120
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-529
FinalATL covered
Vegas SF -2.5SF -4.5 → SF -2.5Total 49.5
Power rating SF 108.4 (1st) · ATL 100.7 (16th)
Algorithm took SF — wrong
SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)
CINCincinnati Bengals5-235
BALBaltimore Ravens4-413
FinalCIN covered
Vegas CIN -3BAL -3.5 → CIN -3Total 46.5
Power rating CIN 102.0 (11th) · BAL 103.7 (4th)
Algorithm took BAL — wrong
CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-543
CARCarolina Panthers3-413
FinalTB covered
Vegas CAR -3Total 44.5
Power rating TB 98.3 (21st) · CAR 102.9 (7th)
Algorithm took CAR — wrong
TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)
NYGNew York Giants4-2-127
HOUHouston Texans2-521
FinalNYG covered
Vegas HOU -10HOU -7 → HOU -10Total 42.5
Power rating NYG 98.2 (22nd) · HOU 101.1 (13th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
NYG 23.3 scored (14th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)HOU 23.6 scored (13th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-610
MINMinnesota Vikings6-116
FinalIND covered
Vegas MIN -6.5MIN -5.5 → MIN -6.5Total 41.5
Power rating IND 96.2 (27th) · MIN 102.6 (9th)
Algorithm took MIN — wrong
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)
MIAMiami Dolphins1-628
NYJNew York Jets2-625
FinalMIA covered
Vegas NYJ -3.5NYJ -4.5 → NYJ -3.5Total 39.5
Power rating MIA 94.2 (31st) · NYJ 99.2 (18th)
Algorithm took NYJ — wrong
MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)
CLECleveland Browns5-327
TENTennessee Titans1-724
FinalCLE covered
Vegas CLE -1.5Total 36.5
Power rating CLE 97.7 (23rd) · TEN 95.4 (28th)
Algorithm took TEN — wrong
CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)
DENDenver Broncos6-230
ARIArizona Cardinals3-516
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -4.5DEN -5.5 → DEN -4.5Total 44.5
Power rating DEN 97.7 (24th) · ARI 93.8 (32nd)
Algorithm took ARI — wrong
DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)
GBGreen Bay Packers5-317
DETDetroit Lions5-220
FinalGB covered
Vegas DET -3.5DET -3 → DET -3.5Total 55.5
Power rating GB 101.5 (12th) · DET 101.0 (14th)
Algorithm took GB — push
GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)
LARLos Angeles Rams4-435
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-421
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -7 → LAR -3.5Total 49.5
Power rating LAR 103.1 (6th) · LV 98.7 (20th)
Algorithm took LV — wrong
LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)
KCKansas City Chiefs5-23
SEASeattle Seahawks4-320
FinalSEA covered
Vegas SEA -3SEA -2.5 → SEA -3Total 43.5
Power rating KC 108.0 (2nd) · SEA 103.8 (3rd)
Algorithm took KC — wrong
KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)SEA 24.0 scored (11th) · 17.9 allowed (3rd)
DALDallas Cowboys3-538
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-621
FinalDAL covered
Vegas DAL -4.5Total 43.5
Power rating DAL 98.9 (19th) · PHI 95.0 (30th)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)
Week 8
CARCarolina Panthers3-419
GBGreen Bay Packers5-327
FinalGB covered
Vegas GB -3.5GB -3 → GB -3.5Total 47.5
Power rating CAR 101.1 (12th) · GB 100.9 (13th)
Algorithm took CAR — wrong
CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-410
BUFBuffalo Bills6-136
FinalBUF covered
Vegas BUF -3Total 54.5
Power rating BAL 101.4 (11th) · BUF 103.0 (8th)
Algorithm took BUF — correct
BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)
TENTennessee Titans1-736
CINCincinnati Bengals5-243
FinalTEN covered
Vegas CIN -13.5CIN -10 → CIN -13.5Total 45.5
Power rating TEN 94.7 (29th) · CIN 103.9 (4th)
Algorithm took CIN — wrong
TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)
ARIArizona Cardinals3-533
DALDallas Cowboys3-530
FinalARI covered
Vegas DAL -7DAL -6.5 → DAL -7Total 54.5
Power rating ARI 93.0 (32nd) · DAL 99.8 (18th)
Algorithm took DAL — wrong
ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)
MINMinnesota Vikings6-115
DETDetroit Lions5-219
FinalDET covered
Vegas DET -3DET -2.5 → DET -3Total 46.5
Power rating MIN 103.2 (7th) · DET 101.5 (10th)
Algorithm took MIN — wrong
MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-67
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-242
FinalJAX covered
Vegas JAX -10JAX -7.5 → JAX -10Total 45.5
Power rating IND 95.7 (27th) · JAX 103.8 (6th)
Algorithm took JAX — correct
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-438
NYJNew York Jets2-633
FinalLV covered
Vegas NYJ -1.5LV -1.5 → NYJ -1.5Total 46.5
Power rating LV 97.8 (24th) · NYJ 99.4 (21st)
Algorithm took NYJ — wrong
LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)
CLECleveland Browns5-36
PITPittsburgh Steelers6-227
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -3.5PIT -4.5 → PIT -3.5Total 38.5
Power rating CLE 99.1 (22nd) · PIT 100.9 (14th)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (4th)
ATLAtlanta Falcons3-50
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-516
FinalTB covered
Vegas TB -2.5TB -1.5 → TB -2.5Total 42.5
Power rating ATL 100.7 (16th) · TB 100.1 (17th)
Algorithm took ATL — wrong
ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (6th)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-79
LARLos Angeles Rams4-424
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -6.5LAR -7 → LAR -6.5Total 46.5
Power rating LAC 94.9 (28th) · LAR 103.8 (5th)
Algorithm took LAR — correct
LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)
KCKansas City Chiefs5-224
DENDenver Broncos6-228
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -1.5KC -1.5 → DEN -1.5Total 41.5
Power rating KC 105.9 (2nd) · DEN 98.9 (23rd)
Algorithm took KC — wrong
KC 23.9 scored (12th) · 18.7 allowed (5th)DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)
NENew England Patriots5-324
MIAMiami Dolphins1-619
FinalMIA covered
Vegas NE -7NE -8.5 → NE -7Total 41.5
Power rating NE 102.1 (9th) · MIA 94.4 (30th)
Algorithm took MIA — correct
NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (8th)MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-610
WASWashington Commanders2-4-127
FinalWAS covered
Vegas WAS -6WAS -3.5 → WAS -6Total 40.5
Power rating PHI 94.4 (31st) · WAS 96.2 (25th)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)